The Knowing-Saying Gap: When Probes See Errors that Confidence Misses
Source
Jyotin Goel, Ipshita Bandyopadhyay, Justin Shenk
Author
Jyotin Goel, Ipshita Bandyopadhyay, Justin Shenk
Date
Terms in this piece · Glossary
context window — The maximum amount of text a model can consider at once — its working memory for the current conversation or task.
LLM — A large language model — the neural network behind tools like Claude and ChatGPT, trained on huge amounts of text to predict what comes next.
AI agent — An AI system that doesn't just answer once but works toward a goal in a loop — taking actions, reading the results, and deciding what to do next.
Why it matters
Anyone building runtime monitoring for LLMA large language model — the neural network behind tools like Claude and ChatGPT, trained on huge amounts of text to predict what comes next.Full definition → or AI agentAn AI system that doesn't just answer once but works toward a goal in a loop — taking actions, reading the results, and deciding what to do next.Full definition → pipelines learns that probe signals and verbalized confidence are not interchangeable, and that the deployable choice is error-type-aware routing rather than one universal intervention.