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ArtifactLinker predicts untested SOTA benchmark results, then verifies them

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Ai2@allen_ai

Most models are only evaluated on a fraction of the benchmarks out there. ArtifactLinker, our new system, predicts which ones would set a new state-of-the-art on benchmarks hosted on @HuggingFace, then runs the evaluation to verify. 🧵

Context

ArtifactLinker is a research system from Ai2 that looks for model and pairings nobody has tested and checks whether any would set a new best score. The problem is coverage: models published on Hugging Face usually report results on only a fraction of the datasets they could be run on, so the strongest model for a task can go unnoticed. The paper treats Hugging Face as a network in which models and datasets are points and each reported score is a line between a model and a dataset. Finding an unmeasured result then becomes predicting which lines are missing and what their scores would be.

The system works in two stages. First, a ranking model learns from the existing connections, drawn from Hugging Face models and datasets with more than 1,000 monthly downloads, and scores the untested pairs. In the paper's tests, graph neural networks, which learn from the pattern of connections around each model and dataset, ranked missing links better than language-model rerankers, though language models did better at predicting the score itself when a dataset had few recorded evaluations. Second, an AI coding takes the top candidates, writes evaluation code and runs it. The ranking only chooses what to test; the agent's run is what produces the evidence.

That verification step is imperfect. To measure it, the authors had the agent rerun 263 evaluations that already had official scores and counted a success when it reached at least 80% of the reported score. It succeeded 72.6% of the time. In a case study on natural language , judging whether one sentence follows from or contradicts another, the system examined 45 models on 12 datasets. For one DeBERTa-based multi-task model whose model card listed other NLI results but not SNLI, it produced what the authors believe is the first reported SNLI score for that model, 92.1% accuracy, within about a point of the leaderboard best of 93.1%. The system also found that newer models including Google's Gemma family often trailed older DeBERTa models on these tasks, a pattern the authors note also appears in earlier research. The code and the benchmark dataset built from the network are public.

Terms in this piece · Glossary
  • benchmark — A standard public test set for comparing AI models — the shared scoreboards behind every "model X beats model Y" claim.
  • eval — A repeatable test for AI quality — a set of tasks plus scoring — used the way software teams use test suites, because model output is too variable to judge by eyeballing.
  • AI agent — An AI system that doesn't just answer once but works toward a goal in a loop — taking actions, reading the results, and deciding what to do next.
  • inference — Running a trained model to get answers — the phase where AI is actually used, as opposed to trained.
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