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Openai Compute Spend

Source
epoch.ai
Author
Epoch AI publications
Date
Why it matters

Shows final training runs are a small share of lab compute, with most spent on research and experiments. That changes how to read training-cost figures.

Key takeaways · AI-distilled
  • Reports in The Information and The New York Times put OpenAI's 2024 spend at $3B on training compute, $1.8B on , and $1B on research compute amortized over multiple years.
  • Epoch assumed a two-year amortization for research compute, giving $2B in 2024, and grouped it with training as $5B of R&D because how OpenAI separates training and research compute is unknown.
  • The GPT-4.5 final training run estimate carries a wide 90% confidence interval of $170M to $890M, and final runs for all other released models, including GPT-4o, GPT-4o mini, Sora Turbo and o-series post-training, total about $80M.
  • That leaves an estimated $4.5B for basic research, derisking runs ahead of final training, and unreleased models, since final-run estimates exclude the experimental runs used to prepare them.
  • Because OpenAI owned little AI compute in 2024 and rented from Microsoft, these cloud expenses represent essentially all its compute, not data-center capital costs.
Terms in this piece · Glossary
  • inference — Running a trained model to get answers — the phase where AI is actually used, as opposed to trained.
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