The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job
Source
Dwarkesh Patel
Author
Dwarkesh Patel
Date
Why it matters
Why labs bet big on RLVR and its limits
Grindability vs verifiability as a training signal
Speculation on what AI progress looks like by 2027
Chapters
00:00:00The big research bet the labs are making
00:02:12Grindability is just as important as verifiability
00:06:10Will RLVR alone generalize?
00:08:41Getting the learning back to the weights
00:15:22Dreaming
00:17:23What 2027 looks like
Transcript
Read it here . Thanks to Mercury for sponsoring this essay. Mercury has automated basically my entire bill pay process for my business. I just give contractors a dedicated email address, and when they send an invoice, Mercury automatically creates a draft payment for me to review. I no longer have to hunt through my inbox for invoices or deal with messy spreadsheets to track my bills. Mercury handles it all. Learn more at mercury.com Timestamps: (00:00:00) – The big research bet the labs are making (00:02:12) – Grindability is just as important as verifiability (00:06:10) – Will RLVR alone generalize? (00:08:41) – Getting the learning back to the weights (00:15:22) – Dreaming (00:17:23) – What 2027 looks like Get full access to Dwarkesh Podcast at www.dwarkesh.com/subscribe
