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We tried to automate Epoch

Source
epochai.substack.com
Author
Kelly Hong
Date
Why it matters

It tests AI on real recurring job tasks, such as graphic design and research planning, against the standards applied to human work. This shows where scores overstate real-world capability.

Key takeaways · AI-distilled
  • Epoch's Automation Reports grade AI on tasks its own staff do, such as graphic design and planning research projects, using the same rubric applied to human work. A score of 100% would mean the task can be handed to AI.
  • The leaders, Claude Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra, met 65% of rubric items on average. Epoch counts that as a failed task, since a human submission at that level would be rejected or revised, and says that does not necessarily mean AI is 65% of the way to automation.
  • Models did better on clearly defined work like coding and data analysis than on open-ended tasks that involve judgment. In one pilot, GPT-6 Astra set the evaluated models' so low that 22% of runs returned nothing, then reported those failures as a capability finding.
  • Epoch removed a basic chart-generation task because Fable 5.1 produced an acceptable chart in one try most of the time, and now partly automates that step. Epoch expects more economic impact as models cross the human-quality threshold on more tasks.
Terms in this piece · Glossary
  • benchmark — A standard public test set for comparing AI models — the shared scoreboards behind every "model X beats model Y" claim.
  • token budget — A cap on how many tokens a task, session, or agent run may consume — the practical control on both cost and how long an agent will grind.
Read the source epochai.substack.com
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