
As amazing as LLMs are, improving their knowledge today involves a more piecemeal process than is widely appreciated. I’ve written before about how AI is amazing... but not that amazing. Well, it is also true that LLMs are general... but not that general. We shouldn’t buy into the inaccurate hype that LLMs are a path to AGI in just a few years, but we also shouldn’t buy into the opposite, also inaccurate hype that they are only demoware. Instead, I find it helpful to have a more precise understanding of the current path to building more intelligent models. First, LLMs are indeed a more general form of intelligence than earlier generations of technology. This is why a single LLM can be applied to a wide range of tasks. The first wave of LLM technology accomplished this by training on the public web, which contains a lot of information about a wide range of topics. This made their knowledge far more general than earlier algorithms that were trained to carry out a single task such as predicting housing prices or playing a single game like chess or Go. However, they’re far less general than human abilities. For instance, after pretraining on the entire content of the public web, an…
Capability gains are now largely per-task work by labs rather than broad generalization, so assume a model is strong only where someone deliberately made it strong — and plan accordingly.
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