Epoch poll: cyber incidents flat even as AI-driven disclosures climb

Epoch AI reports that the share of US adults experiencing a cyber incident has not grown since the release of Anthropic's Claude Fable 5. In a poll run with Ipsos, about 45% said they had at least one incident in the past 12 months when asked in September, compared with 46% in June. The chart's alt text describes each individual incident type as also roughly unchanged.

Epoch contrasts this with other indicators that have risen, such as vulnerability disclosures from notable organizations, around five times higher according to its earlier research, which was not examined here. The two measure different things: disclosures count flaws organizations report, while the poll asks whether people themselves were affected. The post gives no sample size or margin of error, so it does not let a reader judge whether a one-point difference means anything, and a flat poll alone does not show the release had no effect on cyber risk.