Vibeleaderboard
← All Intel
Intel / post

Predicting which unevaluated model would top a benchmark, then checking

Source
x.com
Date
Ai2@allen_ai
Thread · 5 parts

Most models are only evaluated on a fraction of the benchmarks out there. ArtifactLinker, our new system, predicts which ones would set a new state-of-the-art on benchmarks hosted on @HuggingFace, then runs the evaluation to verify. 🧵

@huggingface ArtifactLinker is built on a graph of HuggingFace data—models & datasets are nodes, and reported eval scores form the edges. We trained a GNN for it to rank which models are likely to reach a new SOTA on which benchmarks, beating prompting-based LLMs.

@huggingface In ArtifactLinker, an LLM coding agent writes and runs the evaluation code, with shared memory across runs. We found that it comes within 80% of the officially reported score 72.6% of the time.

@huggingface Using ArtifactLinker, we found cases where a strong model had never been evaluated on a benchmark it would set – or near-match – the SOTA on. We also found that newer LLMs like Gemma often lose to older DeBERTa models on natural language inference tasks.

Read the full thread on X

Context

Ai2's ArtifactLinker searches for promising model evaluations that nobody has reported yet. It represents models and datasets as a network connected by existing scores, then learns from those relationships to rank untested model– combinations. A coding subsequently writes and runs the evaluation. The project announcement describes this prediction-then-testing workflow as a way to find strong models overlooked by incomplete benchmark coverage. The ranking chooses what to investigate; running the test supplies the evidence, though the agent's runs are imperfect: Ai2 reports it came within 80% of the officially reported score 72.6% of the time.

Terms in this piece · Glossary
  • eval — A repeatable test for AI quality — a set of tasks plus scoring — used the way software teams use test suites, because model output is too variable to judge by eyeballing.
  • benchmark — A standard public test set for comparing AI models — the shared scoreboards behind every "model X beats model Y" claim.
  • AI agent — An AI system that doesn't just answer once but works toward a goal in a loop — taking actions, reading the results, and deciding what to do next.
More from Ai2
Recommended reads
Comments

Checking sign-in…

Loading comments…