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Long Context Latency Scaling Gpt Vs Claude

Source
epoch.ai
Author
Epoch AI publications
Date
Why it matters

If you run long-context agents, latency at large prompts grows far faster on GPT-5.6 than on Claude 5 per this data, which should shape model choice and context budgeting.

Key takeaways · AI-distilled
  • Measuring time to first with reasoning off up to about 1M tokens, Epoch found GPT-5.6 Terra and Sol curve upward, consistent with a large quadratic term, while Claude Sonnet 5 stayed near-linear and Opus 5 was noisier but similar.
  • The gap held across three estimators with different assumptions about API latency noise, all recovering similar curvature for GPT-5.6 and near-linear fits for Claude.
  • Epoch reads this as different architectures: full , whose compute scales quadratically with , appears to contribute much less to long-context processing in Claude than in GPT.
  • Pricing diverges the same way: OpenAI charges double input and 1.5x output prices above 272,000 input tokens, while Claude keeps a fixed price at any length, though Epoch notes price need not reflect cost.
Terms in this piece · Glossary
  • context window — The maximum amount of text a model can consider at once — its working memory for the current conversation or task.
  • token — The chunk of text a model reads and writes in — roughly three-quarters of a word — and the unit AI usage is billed in.
  • attention — The mechanism that lets a model weigh which earlier words matter for the word it's currently processing — the core operation of a transformer.
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